Serie A|07/10/2026
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.9
41% probability
🔁
Both Teams Score
NO @ 1.73
44% probability
49%Model accuracy (last 60 days) — 139/282
★ BEST BET
Remo Win @ 2.2
Remo are backed at 57% by the model, presenting a value edge against implied odds. At home, they average 1.17 goals while Gremio struggles with 0.89 goals away. Remo's stronger home form and Gremio's defensive vulnerabilities on the road point to a home victory.
💡 Remo have scored in 65% of their home matches, highlighting their capability to find the net even against tougher opponents. This consistency at home is crucial as they face Gremio, who have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.67 goals away.
Final Result
Remo 1 : 1 Gremio
Our prediction: 1 ✗
The clash between Remo and Gremio poses a fascinating tactical duel as both teams desperately seek points to avoid relegation. Remo, sitting at 19th with 23 points, aim to leverage their home advantage against Gremio, who are just two spots above them with 29 points. With both teams enduring challenging campaigns, Remo enter this match on the back of five consecutive losses, whereas Gremio recently found some form with a 3-1 victory against Internacional. This encounter becomes even more intriguing given Remo's ability to score at home, averaging 1.17 goals per match, contrasted with Gremio's defensive frailties on the road, where they concede 1.67 goals on average. The tactical battle will likely be decided in the midfield, where Remo's pressing could disrupt Gremio's attempts to build from the back.
📊 Team Statistics
Avg Scored1.15
Avg Conceded1.4
Over 2.560%
BTTS65%
Clean Sheets3
Failed to Score5
Avg Scored1.2
Avg Conceded1.4
Over 2.560%
BTTS65%
Clean Sheets3
Failed to Score6
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.35
Double Chance X21.62
Double Chance 121.3
Over 1.5 Goals1.28
Under 1.5 Goals3.75
Match-Up Analysis & Verdict
The key match-up lies in whether Remo's attack can penetrate Gremio's shaky defence. Remo's home scoring average of 1.17 goals aligns favourably against Gremio's concession rate of 1.67 away. Gremio's counter-attacking approach contrasts with Remo's pressing game, indicating potential openings for both sides. Model probabilities favour Remo at 57%, priced at odds of 2.20, offering a value edge given Gremio's implied 16% chance of victory. Given the stakes and statistical profiles, a Remo win emerges as the most viable outcome, though the safety of a Double Chance 1X at odds of 1.35 could appeal to conservative bettors.
Profile: Remo
Remo's season has been one of struggle and disappointment, currently positioned 19th in Serie A with 23 points. Their narrative has been dominated by inconsistency and a lack of defensive solidity. At home, Remo have secured 4 wins, scoring an average of 1.17 goals per match, while conceding 1.25 goals on average. However, their recent form is concerning, with five straight defeats, including a narrow 1-2 loss to Santos. Tactically, Remo rely on a pressing style aimed at unsettling opponents, but their effectiveness has waned, as evidenced by their average possession of just 32%. Despite this, their home form remains their biggest strength, with the ability to score consistently being a key factor. No significant injuries impact their squad, allowing them to field a competitive team against Gremio.
Profile: Gremio
Gremio's season has been tumultuous, sitting 17th with 29 points, just ahead of the relegation zone. Away from home, their record is poor, with only one victory and an average of 0.89 goals scored, while conceding 1.67. Their recent form includes a 0-0 draw with Palmeiras, following a morale-boosting 3-1 win over Internacional. Gremio typically play with a 4-1-4-1 formation that struggles to maintain possession, averaging just 19% in recent matches, indicating a counter-attacking strategy. This approach can leave them vulnerable, particularly against teams capable of sustained pressure. While there are no major injury concerns, their away vulnerabilities pose a significant threat, making them susceptible to Remo's attacking potential. Gremio's biggest threat lies in exploiting transitions, yet their defensive shortcomings remain their Achilles' heel.
What Could Go Wrong
The primary risk to the prediction of a Remo victory lies in their recent form, having lost their last five matches, including a 1-2 defeat to Santos. Statistically, their home form should provide an edge, yet their failure to secure points in comparable settings raises questions. Gremio's recent 3-1 win against Internacional hints at potential resurgence, and their capacity to exploit transitions could unsettle Remo's defence. Gremio's own away record of six losses out of nine matches, including a 0-3 defeat to Atletico-MG, shows their vulnerability remains a significant obstacle. However, the consistency of Remo's scoring at home combined with Gremio's defensive frailties supports the home win call. The bettor should be mindful of this volatility and consider hedging with a Double Chance at odds of 1.35.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Will both teams score in Remo vs Gremio?
The probability of both teams scoring is 44%, with BTTS Yes priced at odds of 1.73. Remo have seen both teams score in 65% of recent matches, whereas Gremio's clean sheet rate away is low, with six failures to score. Head-to-head, the last meeting ended 0-0.
2
What is Remo's recent form?
Remo have lost their last five matches, including a 1-2 loss to Santos and a 0-1 defeat to Flamengo. At home, they have won four times this season, scoring an average of 1.17 goals and managing three clean sheets. Their form is on a decline.
3
What is the Draw No Bet option for Remo vs Gremio?
In Draw No Bet, a draw results in the stake being returned. Remo are offered at 1.57, while Gremio are at 2.10. The Draw No Bet on Remo provides better value due to their stronger home form.
4
Is Over 1.5 goals a safe bet in Remo vs Gremio?
The Over 1.5 goals probability is 70%, with odds of 1.28. In their last 20 matches, Remo and Gremio have seen over 1.5 goals in 60% of games, making it a statistically supported option.
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